Compare before changing your deck

Calculate your Pokémon TCG draw probability

Compare two, three or four copies and calculate the exact probability of seeing at least one in the cards you draw.

Free calculator

What are your chances of drawing this card?

Enter 7 for your opening hand, then add every card seen since the game began.

Example: four copies in a 60-card deck gives a 39.9% chance of at least one in your opening hand.

The calculation assumes a well-shuffled deck. The 60-card format comes from the official Pokémon TCG rules. Probabilities describe repeated outcomes, not a prediction.

How the result is calculated

The calculator uses the hypergeometric distribution: drawing without replacement from a finite deck. It subtracts the probability of drawing zero copies from 100%. Search effects, Prize cards and mulligans are not modelled.

Frequently asked questions

What does 39.9% mean?

With four copies in a 60-card deck, about 40 in 100 opening hands contain at least one copy. It does not predict the next game.

What should cards drawn or seen include?

Use 7 for an opening hand, 8 after the first draw, then the total number seen since the game began.

Does it account for Prize cards?

No. It assumes every copy starts in the deck. If known cards have been removed, reduce the deck size and remaining copies.