Is a Paldea Evolved booster box worth opening?

Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026 · TCGplayer pull rates · 20,000 simulated boxes

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€67 for the €284 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 8% of the time.

As of 13 October 2026, a Paldea Evolved booster box costs €284.21 on Cardmarket. The hits inside (double rare and up) are worth €100.23 on average, 35% of the price. That average is pulled up by the chase cards: the typical box returns €67, and only 8% of boxes pay for themselves. One pack in 3.4 holds at least one hit. The top chase, Magikarp 203/193 (€331.57), turns up in 7.4% of boxes.

Box price
€284
English box, Cardmarket price
Average hits
€100
double rare and up
Average return
35%
of the price, on average
Typical box
€67
10% return under €28, 10% over €215
Pays for itself
8%
of simulated boxes
One hit every
3.4 packs
11.9 hits per box on average

The 3 cards people open it for

  1. Magikarp 203/193

    1 Magikarp

    Illustration rare · €331.57

    in 7.4% of boxes

  2. Raichu 211/193

    2 Raichu

    Illustration rare · €140.09

    in 7.4% of boxes

  3. Tyranitar 222/193

    3 Tyranitar

    Illustration rare · €43.36

    in 7.4% of boxes

Cheapest way to open it

Cardmarket (€)
FormatPer packPrice
Single packcheapest€7.37€7.37
Booster box (36 packs)€7.89€284.21
Elite Trainer Box (9 packs)€16.50€148.49
Booster bundle (6 packs)€21.46€128.73

Rarity by rarity

36 packs per box
RarityOne pack inCardsMean priceMedian pricePer pack
Double rare717€0.72€0.67€0.10
Ultra Rare1526€2.24€1.69€0.15
Illustration rare1336€25.66€11.39€1.98
Special illustration rare3215€15.23€12.55€0.48
Hyper rare579€4.40€4.55€0.08
Total per pack€2.78

Where the numbers come from

Pull rates: TCGplayer study (more than 8,000 booster packs), published 9 June 2023, read on 14 October 2026. Card and product prices: Cardmarket trend as of 13 October 2026.

Read the study (TCGplayer) ↗

Full method and its limits →

Frequently asked questions

Is a Paldea Evolved booster box worth opening?

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€67 for the €284 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 8% of the time. On average its hits are worth €100.23, 35% of its price (Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026).

What are the odds of pulling Paldea Evolved’s top chase card in a box?

Magikarp 203/193, priced at €331.57, turns up about once every 467.5 packs, so in 7.4% of 36-pack boxes.

Paldea Evolved booster box or ETB: which should you buy to open?

Cheapest per pack today: Single pack, at €7.37 per pack (€7.37 on Cardmarket). The packs are the same; an ETB adds accessories, a box only packs.

How many hits are in a Paldea Evolved booster box?

11.9 on average across 36 packs (double rare and up): one pack in 3.4 holds at least one, per the TCGplayer study.