Is a Phantasmal Flames booster box worth opening?

Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026 · TCGplayer pull rates · 20,000 simulated boxes

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€37 for the €298 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 8.6% of the time.

As of 13 October 2026, a Phantasmal Flames booster box costs €298.30 on Cardmarket. The hits inside (double rare and up) are worth €103.96 on average, 35% of the price. That average is pulled up by the chase cards: the typical box returns €37, and only 8.6% of boxes pay for themselves. One pack in 2.8 holds at least one hit. The top chase, Mega Charizard X ex 125/94 (€680.81), turns up in 8.6% of boxes.

Box price
€298
English box, Cardmarket price
Average hits
€104
double rare and up
Average return
35%
of the price, on average
Typical box
€37
10% return under €16, 10% over €241
Pays for itself
8.6%
of simulated boxes
One hit every
2.8 packs
14.8 hits per box on average

The 3 cards people open it for

  1. Mega Charizard X ex 125/94

    1 Mega Charizard X ex

    Special illustration rare · €680.81

    in 8.6% of boxes

  2. Mega Charizard X ex 130/94

    2 Mega Charizard X ex

    Mega Hyper Rare · €211.96

    in 2.8% of boxes

  3. Mega Charizard X ex 109/94

    3 Mega Charizard X ex

    Ultra Rare · €23.33

    in 16% of boxes

Cheapest way to open it

Cardmarket (€)
FormatPer packPrice
Single packcheapest€7.07€7.07
Booster box (36 packs)€8.29€298.30
Booster bundle (6 packs)€9.82€58.89
Elite Trainer Box (9 packs)€10.13€91.21

Rarity by rarity

36 packs per box
RarityOne pack inCardsMean priceMedian pricePer pack
Double rare510€0.81€0.45€0.17
Ultra Rare1217€2.83€1.36€0.23
Illustration rare913€4.30€2.68€0.47
Special illustration rare805€148.01€15.83€1.85
Mega Hyper Rare1,2601€211.96€211.96€0.17
Total per pack€2.89

Where the numbers come from

Pull rates: TCGplayer study (more than 5,000 booster packs), published 15 November 2025, read on 14 October 2026. Card and product prices: Cardmarket trend as of 13 October 2026.

Read the study (TCGplayer) ↗

Full method and its limits →

Frequently asked questions

Is a Phantasmal Flames booster box worth opening?

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€37 for the €298 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 8.6% of the time. On average its hits are worth €103.96, 35% of its price (Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026).

What are the odds of pulling Phantasmal Flames’s top chase card in a box?

Mega Charizard X ex 125/94, priced at €680.81, turns up about once every 400 packs, so in 8.6% of 36-pack boxes.

Phantasmal Flames booster box or ETB: which should you buy to open?

Cheapest per pack today: Single pack, at €7.07 per pack (€7.07 on Cardmarket). The packs are the same; an ETB adds accessories, a box only packs.

How many hits are in a Phantasmal Flames booster box?

14.8 on average across 36 packs (double rare and up): one pack in 2.8 holds at least one, per the TCGplayer study.