Is a Twilight Masquerade booster box worth opening?

Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026 · TCGplayer pull rates · 20,000 simulated boxes

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€56 for the €261 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 0.9% of the time.

As of 13 October 2026, a Twilight Masquerade booster box costs €260.63 on Cardmarket. The hits inside (double rare and up) are worth €70.90 on average, 27% of the price. That average is pulled up by the chase cards: the typical box returns €56, and only 0.9% of boxes pay for themselves. One pack in 3 holds at least one hit. The top chase, Greninja ex 214/167 (€166.15), turns up in 3.8% of boxes.

Box price
€261
English box, Cardmarket price
Average hits
€71
double rare and up
Average return
27%
of the price, on average
Typical box
€56
10% return under €26, 10% over €132
Pays for itself
0.9%
of simulated boxes
One hit every
3 packs
13.7 hits per box on average

The 3 cards people open it for

  1. Greninja ex 214/167

    1 Greninja ex

    Special illustration rare · €166.15

    in 3.8% of boxes

  2. Perrin 220/167

    2 Perrin

    Special illustration rare · €79.06

    in 3.8% of boxes

  3. Eevee 188/167

    3 Eevee

    Illustration rare · €71.00

    in 12% of boxes

Cheapest way to open it

Cardmarket (€)
FormatPer packPrice
Elite Trainer Box (9 packs)cheapest€6.56€59.02
Single pack€6.76€6.76
Booster box (36 packs)€7.24€260.63
Booster bundle (6 packs)€8.09€48.54

Rarity by rarity

36 packs per box
RarityOne pack inCardsMean priceMedian pricePer pack
Double rare614€1.04€0.69€0.18
Ultra Rare1521€3.05€2.28€0.20
ACE SPEC Rare206€4.05€2.49€0.21
Illustration rare1321€11.40€5.05€0.88
Special illustration rare8611€39.44€19.12€0.46
Hyper rare1466€6.47€5.71€0.04
Total per pack€1.97

Where the numbers come from

Pull rates: TCGplayer study (more than 8,000 booster packs), published 24 May 2024, read on 14 October 2026. Card and product prices: Cardmarket trend as of 13 October 2026.

Read the study (TCGplayer) ↗

Full method and its limits →

Frequently asked questions

Is a Twilight Masquerade booster box worth opening?

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€56 for the €261 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 0.9% of the time. On average its hits are worth €70.90, 27% of its price (Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026).

What are the odds of pulling Twilight Masquerade’s top chase card in a box?

Greninja ex 214/167, priced at €166.15, turns up about once every 940.2 packs, so in 3.8% of 36-pack boxes.

Twilight Masquerade booster box or ETB: which should you buy to open?

Cheapest per pack today: Elite Trainer Box (9 packs), at €6.56 per pack (€59.02 on Cardmarket). The packs are the same; an ETB adds accessories, a box only packs.

How many hits are in a Twilight Masquerade booster box?

13.7 on average across 36 packs (double rare and up): one pack in 3 holds at least one, per the TCGplayer study.