Is a Obsidian Flames booster box worth opening?

Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026 · TCGplayer pull rates · 20,000 simulated boxes

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€57 for the €236 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 0.2% of the time.

As of 13 October 2026, a Obsidian Flames booster box costs €236.31 on Cardmarket. The hits inside (double rare and up) are worth €67.18 on average, 28% of the price. That average is pulled up by the chase cards: the typical box returns €57, and only 0.2% of boxes pay for themselves. One pack in 3.4 holds at least one hit. The top chase, Charizard ex 223/197 (€74.44), turns up in 17% of boxes.

Box price
€236
English box, Cardmarket price
Average hits
€67
double rare and up
Average return
28%
of the price, on average
Typical box
€57
10% return under €22, 10% over €126
Pays for itself
0.2%
of simulated boxes
One hit every
3.4 packs
11.8 hits per box on average

The 3 cards people open it for

  1. Charizard ex 223/197

    1 Charizard ex

    Special illustration rare · €74.44

    in 17% of boxes

  2. Charizard ex 228/197

    2 Charizard ex

    Hyper rare · €26.94

    in 21% of boxes

  3. Cleffa 202/197

    3 Cleffa

    Illustration rare · €25.87

    in 20% of boxes

Cheapest way to open it

Cardmarket (€)
FormatPer packPrice
Single packcheapest€6.46€6.46
Booster box (36 packs)€6.56€236.31
Elite Trainer Box (9 packs)€22.91€206.22
Booster bundle (6 packs)€23.79€142.72

Rarity by rarity

36 packs per box
RarityOne pack inCardsMean priceMedian pricePer pack
Double rare721€1.12€0.88€0.15
Ultra Rare1512€2.74€1.25€0.18
Illustration rare1312€10.20€8.14€0.78
Special illustration rare326€17.88€4.46€0.56
Hyper rare523€10.30€2.61€0.20
Total per pack€1.87

Where the numbers come from

Pull rates: TCGplayer study (more than 8,000 booster packs), published 11 August 2023, read on 14 October 2026. Card and product prices: Cardmarket trend as of 13 October 2026.

Read the study (TCGplayer) ↗

Full method and its limits →

Frequently asked questions

Is a Obsidian Flames booster box worth opening?

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€57 for the €236 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 0.2% of the time. On average its hits are worth €67.18, 28% of its price (Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026).

What are the odds of pulling Obsidian Flames’s top chase card in a box?

Charizard ex 223/197, priced at €74.44, turns up about once every 191.7 packs, so in 17% of 36-pack boxes.

Obsidian Flames booster box or ETB: which should you buy to open?

Cheapest per pack today: Single pack, at €6.46 per pack (€6.46 on Cardmarket). The packs are the same; an ETB adds accessories, a box only packs.

How many hits are in a Obsidian Flames booster box?

11.8 on average across 36 packs (double rare and up): one pack in 3.4 holds at least one, per the TCGplayer study.