Is a Surging Sparks booster box worth opening?

Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026 · TCGplayer pull rates · 20,000 simulated boxes

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€47 for the €244 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 4.3% of the time.

As of 13 October 2026, a Surging Sparks booster box costs €244.16 on Cardmarket. The hits inside (double rare and up) are worth €70.28 on average, 29% of the price. That average is pulled up by the chase cards: the typical box returns €47, and only 4.3% of boxes pay for themselves. One pack in 3 holds at least one hit. The top chase, Pikachu ex 238/191 (€322.42), turns up in 3.7% of boxes.

Box price
€244
English box, Cardmarket price
Average hits
€70
double rare and up
Average return
29%
of the price, on average
Typical box
€47
10% return under €21, 10% over €140
Pays for itself
4.3%
of simulated boxes
One hit every
3 packs
13.7 hits per box on average

The 3 cards people open it for

  1. Pikachu ex 238/191

    1 Pikachu ex

    Special illustration rare · €322.42

    in 3.7% of boxes

  2. Latias ex 239/191

    2 Latias ex

    Special illustration rare · €154.12

    in 3.7% of boxes

  3. Milotic ex 237/191

    3 Milotic ex

    Special illustration rare · €103.64

    in 3.7% of boxes

Cheapest way to open it

Cardmarket (€)
FormatPer packPrice
Booster box (36 packs)cheapest€6.78€244.16
Single pack€7.23€7.23
Booster bundle (6 packs)€8.98€53.85
Elite Trainer Box (9 packs)€14.75€132.74

Rarity by rarity

36 packs per box
RarityOne pack inCardsMean priceMedian pricePer pack
Double rare618€1.26€0.67€0.21
Ultra Rare1521€3.32€1.89€0.22
ACE SPEC Rare208€1.61€0.97€0.08
Illustration rare1323€7.45€4.79€0.57
Special illustration rare8711€67.03€24.35€0.77
Hyper rare1886€17.35€10.07€0.09
Total per pack€1.95

Where the numbers come from

Pull rates: TCGplayer study (more than 8,000 booster packs), published 8 November 2024, read on 14 October 2026. Card and product prices: Cardmarket trend as of 13 October 2026.

Read the study (TCGplayer) ↗

Full method and its limits →

Frequently asked questions

Is a Surging Sparks booster box worth opening?

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€47 for the €244 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 4.3% of the time. On average its hits are worth €70.28, 29% of its price (Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026).

What are the odds of pulling Surging Sparks’s top chase card in a box?

Pikachu ex 238/191, priced at €322.42, turns up about once every 956.5 packs, so in 3.7% of 36-pack boxes.

Surging Sparks booster box or ETB: which should you buy to open?

Cheapest per pack today: Booster box (36 packs), at €6.78 per pack (€244.16 on Cardmarket). The packs are the same; an ETB adds accessories, a box only packs.

How many hits are in a Surging Sparks booster box?

13.7 on average across 36 packs (double rare and up): one pack in 3 holds at least one, per the TCGplayer study.