Is a Paradox Rift booster box worth opening?

Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026 · TCGplayer pull rates · 20,000 simulated boxes

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€47 for the €219 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 0.7% of the time.

As of 13 October 2026, a Paradox Rift booster box costs €218.84 on Cardmarket. The hits inside (double rare and up) are worth €59.27 on average, 27% of the price. That average is pulled up by the chase cards: the typical box returns €47, and only 0.7% of boxes pay for themselves. One pack in 3.4 holds at least one hit. The top chase, Groudon 199/182 (€99.00), turns up in 7.8% of boxes.

Box price
€219
English box, Cardmarket price
Average hits
€59
double rare and up
Average return
27%
of the price, on average
Typical box
€47
10% return under €20, 10% over €126
Pays for itself
0.7%
of simulated boxes
One hit every
3.4 packs
12 hits per box on average

The 3 cards people open it for

  1. Groudon 199/182

    1 Groudon

    Illustration rare · €99.00

    in 7.8% of boxes

  2. Altaria ex 253/182

    2 Altaria ex

    Special illustration rare · €94.62

    in 4.9% of boxes

  3. Roaring Moon ex 251/182

    3 Roaring Moon ex

    Special illustration rare · €29.84

    in 4.9% of boxes

Cheapest way to open it

Cardmarket (€)
FormatPer packPrice
Single packcheapest€5.80€5.80
Booster box (36 packs)€6.08€218.84
Booster bundle (6 packs)€7.37€44.21
Elite Trainer Box (9 packs)€8.63€77.70

Rarity by rarity

36 packs per box
RarityOne pack inCardsMean priceMedian pricePer pack
Double rare620€0.72€0.59€0.11
Ultra Rare1528€2.16€2.00€0.14
Illustration rare1334€12.21€7.31€0.94
Special illustration rare4715€18.80€10.03€0.40
Hyper rare827€4.41€2.99€0.05
Total per pack€1.65

Where the numbers come from

Pull rates: TCGplayer study (more than 8,000 booster packs), published 4 November 2023, read on 14 October 2026. Card and product prices: Cardmarket trend as of 13 October 2026.

Read the study (TCGplayer) ↗

Full method and its limits →

Frequently asked questions

Is a Paradox Rift booster box worth opening?

Opening means paying for the fun: a typical box returns ~€47 for the €219 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 0.7% of the time. On average its hits are worth €59.27, 27% of its price (Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026).

What are the odds of pulling Paradox Rift’s top chase card in a box?

Groudon 199/182, priced at €99.00, turns up about once every 441.6 packs, so in 7.8% of 36-pack boxes.

Paradox Rift booster box or ETB: which should you buy to open?

Cheapest per pack today: Single pack, at €5.80 per pack (€5.80 on Cardmarket). The packs are the same; an ETB adds accessories, a box only packs.

How many hits are in a Paradox Rift booster box?

12 on average across 36 packs (double rare and up): one pack in 3.4 holds at least one, per the TCGplayer study.