Is a Paldean Fates booster box worth opening?
Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026 · TCGplayer pull rates · 20,000 simulated 36-pack lots
Opening means paying for the fun: a typical 36 packs (bought one by one) returns ~€83 for the €663 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 6.6% of the time.
As of 13 October 2026, 36 packs bought one by one of Paldean Fates cost €663.48 on Cardmarket (no English booster box was made for this set). The hits inside (double rare and up) are worth €160.47 on average, 24% of the price. That average is pulled up by the chase cards: a typical lot of 36 packs returns €83, and only 6.6% of 36-pack lots pay for themselves. One pack in 1.9 holds at least one hit. The top chase, Mew ex 232/91 (€614.93), turns up in 7.5% of 36-pack lots.
Smaller sample (about 1,500 packs). The study's table puts the special illustration rare at 1 in 58 packs (a heading says 1 in 32); we use the table.
- 36 packs cost
- €663
- no English booster box was made for this set; priced as Single pack
- Average hits
- €160
- double rare and up
- Average return
- 24%
- of the price, on average
- Typical 36-pack lot
- €83
- 10% return under €48, 10% over €393
- Pays for itself
- 6.6%
- of simulated lots
- One hit every
- 1.9 packs
- 23.8 hits per box on average
The 3 cards people open it for
Cheapest way to open it
Cardmarket (€)| Format | Per pack | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Single packcheapest | €18.43 | €18.43 |
| Booster bundle (6 packs) | €21.95 | €131.70 |
| Elite Trainer Box (9 packs) | €23.03 | €207.30 |
Rarity by rarity
36 packs per box| Rarity | One pack in | Cards | Mean price | Median price | Per pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double rare | 6 | 10 | €0.89 | €0.57 | €0.14 |
| Ultra Rare | 15 | 5 | €0.67 | €0.64 | €0.04 |
| Shiny rare | 4 | 120 | €5.27 | €3.29 | €1.34 |
| Shiny Ultra Rare | 13 | 12 | €3.19 | €1.53 | €0.25 |
| Illustration rare | 14 | 3 | €1.50 | €1.34 | €0.11 |
| Special illustration rare | 58 | 8 | €141.72 | €17.45 | €2.44 |
| Hyper rare | 62 | 6 | €8.75 | €8.50 | €0.14 |
| Total per pack | €4.46 | ||||
Where the numbers come from
Pull rates: TCGplayer study (more than 1,500 booster packs), published 26 January 2024, read on 14 October 2026. Card and product prices: Cardmarket trend as of 13 October 2026.
Frequently asked questions
Is opening Paldean Fates packs worth it?
Opening means paying for the fun: a typical 36 packs (bought one by one) returns ~€83 for the €663 you pay. It pays for itself in cards 6.6% of the time. On average its hits are worth €160.47, 24% of its price (Cardmarket prices as of 13 October 2026).
What are the odds of pulling Paldean Fates’s top chase card in 36 packs?
Mew ex 232/91, priced at €614.93, turns up about once every 465.1 packs, so in 7.5% of 36-pack lots.
Paldean Fates ETB, bundle or packs: which should you buy to open?
Cheapest per pack today: Single pack, at €18.43 per pack (€18.43 on Cardmarket). The packs are the same; an ETB adds accessories.
How many hits are in 36 Paldean Fates packs?
23.8 on average across 36 packs (double rare and up): one pack in 1.9 holds at least one, per the TCGplayer study.